内镜超声鉴别诊断自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌的价值
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1.中国医学科学院北京协和医学院北京协和医院消化内科/协和转化医学中心;2.中国医学科学院基础医学研究所/北京协和医学院基础学院流行病及统计学系

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划(2017YFC0109804)


The role of endoscopic ultrasonogaphy in differentiating between autoimmune pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer
Author:
Affiliation:

Department of Gastroenterology,Peking Union Medical College Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences

Fund Project:

National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFC0109804)

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    摘要:

    目的 评价内镜超声检查(endoscopic ultrasonography,EUS)在自身免疫性胰腺炎和胰腺癌鉴别诊断中的价值。方法 2013年1月—2018年12月在北京协和医院因梗阻性黄疸初次就诊并确诊,且同时接受EUS的133例自身免疫性胰腺炎和113例胰腺癌患者资料纳入回顾性分析,根据随机号码按1∶1随机分成训练样本和验证样本。在训练样本,将两种疾病患者的10项EUS图像特征进行多因素Logistic逐步回归和受试者工作特征曲线分析,比较两者EUS特征表现的差异,构建自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌鉴别的预测模型,然后在验证样本检验其预测效能。鉴于胰腺实质弥漫或局灶回声减低判定上存在一定主观性,为避免偏倚,本研究特此设计了2个预测模型。结果 Logistic逐步回归多因素分析显示,胰腺弥漫性回声减低(OR=591.0,95%CI:98.8~>999.9,P<0.001)及血管侵犯(OR=11.9,95%CI:1.4~260.2,P=0.023)是鉴别自身免疫性胰腺炎和胰腺癌有统计学意义的预测因子。排除胰腺弥漫性回声减低和局灶性回声减低后剩余的8项EUS特征,经Logistic逐步回归多因素分析显示,强回声灶/索条(OR=177.3,95%CI:18.7~>999.9,P<0.001)、主胰管扩张(OR=60.5,95%CI:6.2~>999.9,P=0.004)、胆管壁增厚(OR=35.4,95%CI:3.7~>999.9,P=0.009)、淋巴结肿大(OR=16.8,95%CI:1.7~475.2,P=0.038)以及血管侵犯(OR=22.7,95%CI:2.0~725.7,P=0.028)是鉴别两者有统计学意义的预测因子。2个模型鉴别自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌的受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为0.995和0.979。当取最佳诊断阈值时,2个模型的预测灵敏度、特异度、准确率、阳性预测值和阴性预测值均>90%;对于鉴别困难的局灶型自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌,2个模型的灵敏度和准确率均>90%,特异度、阳性预测值和阴性预测值均>85%。结论 本研究构建的2个模型对于自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌鉴别的预测价值较高,根据EUS特征表现对自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌作出鉴别是可行的。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the role of endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) in differentiating between autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP) and pancreatic cancer (PC). Methods Data of 133 patients with AIP and 113 patients with PC who underwent EUS because of obstructive jaundice at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed in the study, and were randomly divided into either a derivation sample or a validation sample using 1∶1 allocation according to the random number. In the derivation sample, 10 EUS characteristics were used to construct a prediction model to distinguish between AIP and PC, in which predictors were identified by multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis and predictive efficacy was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. The predictive efficacy was assessed in the validation sample. In view of the subjectivity in the judgment of diffuse/focal hypoechogenicity, 2 prediction models were designed in order to avoid bias. Results By multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis, diffuse hypoechogenicity (OR=591.0, 95%CI: 98.8->999.9, P<0.001) and vessel involvement (OR=11.9, 95%CI: 1.4-260.2, P=0.023) were identified as statistically significant predictors for distinguishing AIP from PC. EUS characteristics excluding diffuse/focal hypoechogenicity were stepped by logistic regression, which showed that hyperechoic foci/strands (OR=177.3, 95%CI: 18.7->999.9, P<0.001), pancreatic duct dilation (OR=60.5, 95%CI: 6.2->999.9, P=0.004), bile duct wall thickening (OR=35.4, 95%CI: 3.7->999.9, P=0.009), lymphadenopathy (OR=16.8, 95%CI: 1.7-475.2, P=0.038) and vessel involvement (OR=22.7, 95%CI: 2.0-725.7, P=0.028) were statistically significant predictors to distinguish the two diseases. Both prediction models were built in the derivation sample, with area under the ROC curve of 0.995 and 0.979 respectively. In the validation sample, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of both prediction models were all >90% by using the optimal cutoff value. Even for discrimination between focal AIP and PC, sensitivity and accuracy of both models were >90%, and specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were all >85%. Conclusion The 2 prediction models have good differential predictive value, and EUS is a useful tool to differentiate between AIP and PC.

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郭涛,徐涛,赖雅敏,等.内镜超声鉴别诊断自身免疫性胰腺炎与胰腺癌的价值[J].中华消化内镜杂志,2022,39(8):621-627.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-09
  • 最后修改日期:2022-06-29
  • 录用日期:2021-11-02
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-07-07
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