超高龄患者经内镜逆行胰胆管造影术后并发症的危险因素分析
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1.武汉大学中南医院消化内镜中心;2.武汉大学中南医院肝胆胰外科;3.黄冈市中心医院消化内科

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Risk factors for complications after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in super?aged patients
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨超高龄患者(≥80岁)经内镜逆行胰胆管造影术(endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography,ERCP)后并发症发生的相关危险因素。方法 回顾性分析2011年7月—2021年6月武汉大学中南医院消化内镜中心512例行ERCP(638例次ERCP)的超高龄胆胰疾病患者临床资料,分析ERCP适应证和手术完成情况,并利用多因素Logistic回归模型分析其术后并发症发生的相关危险因素。结果 超高龄患者638例次ERCP选择性插管总体成功率为94.0%(600/638),与同期<60岁(2 433/2 557,95.2%)、60~<80岁人群(2 815/3 004,93.7%)相比,三者插管总体成功率差异无统计学意义(χ2=5.49,P=0.064)。超高龄患者ERCP术后并发症的总体发生率为15.2%(97/638),术后于住院期间死亡的总体发生率为2.1%(11/512),与同期<60岁(8/1 809,0.4%)、60~<80岁人群(21/2 127,1.0%)相比,三者死亡率差异有统计学意义(χ2=13.39,P=0.002)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示高血压(HR=1.94,95%CI:1.237~3.041,P=0.004)、上消化道重建术后(HR=2.28,95%CI:1.064~4.891,P=0.034)、行十二指肠乳头括约肌切开术(HR=1.65,95%CI:1.012~2.679,P=0.045)、手术时期较早(HR=0.57,95%CI:0.352~0.923,P=0.022)、手术操作时间>30 min(HR=1.74,95%CI:1.094~2.759,P=0.019)、术前白细胞>9.5×109/L(HR=2.66,95%CI:1.661~4.257,P<0.001)及降钙素原≥0.05 ng/L(HR=2.54,95%CI:1.172~5.513,P=0.018)是超高龄患者ERCP术后并发症发生的独立危险因素。结论 ERCP对超高龄患者是安全有效的。超高龄患者有高血压、上消化道重建术后、有十二指肠乳头括约肌切开术既往史、手术操作时间>30 min、术前患者白细胞>9.5×109/L及降钙素原≥0.05 ng/L时,应密切关注术后并发症,避免死亡等严重不良事件发生。

    Abstract:

    Objective To study the risk factors for complications after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in super-aged patients (≥80 years). Methods Clinical data of 512 super-aged patients with pancreaticobiliary diseases who underwent 638 ERCP procedures at the Digestive Endoscopy Center, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, from July 2011 to June 2021, were studied retrospectively. Indications and results of the ERCP operations were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for ERCP-related complications. Results The total success rate of ERCP cannulation in super-aged patients was 94.0% (600/638), which showed no difference compared with that of patients of <60 years old (2 433/2 557, 95.2%) or patients of 60~<80 years old (2?815/3 004, 93.7%) (χ2=5.49, P=0.064). The overall incidence of post-ERCP complications was 15.2% (97/638), and the in-hospital mortality was 2.1% (11/512), which showed significant difference compared with patients of <60 years old (8/1 809, 0.4%) and patients of 60?<80 years old (21/2 127, 1.0%) (χ2=13.39, P=0.002). Multivariate regression analysis showed that hypertension (HR=1.94, 95%CI: 1.237-3.041, P=0.004), history of upper gastrointestinal reconstruction (HR=2.28, 95%CI: 1.064-4.891, P=0.034), endoscopic sphincterectomy (HR=1.65, 95%CI: 1.012-2.679, P=0.045), early procedure period (HR=0.57, 95%CI: 0.352-0.923, P=0.022), operation time >30 minutes (HR=1.74, 95%CI: 1.094-2.759, P=0.019), preoperative white blood cell count >9.5×109/L (HR=2.66, 95%CI: 1.661-4.257, P<0.001) and procalcitonin ≥0.05 ng/L (HR=2.54, 95%CI: 1.172-5.513, P=0.018) were independent risk factors for post-ERCP complications. Conclusion ERCP is safe and effective for super-aged patients. However, much attention should be paid to post-ERCP complications of patients with hypertension, history of upper gastrointestinal reconstruction, endoscopic sphincterectomy, operation time >30 minutes, preoperative white blood cell count >9.5×109/L and procalcitonin ≥0.05 ng/L to avoid serious adverse events such as mortality.

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谭燕,王馨怡,方军,等.超高龄患者经内镜逆行胰胆管造影术后并发症的危险因素分析[J].中华消化内镜杂志,2022,39(10):813-819.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-01
  • 最后修改日期:2022-05-28
  • 录用日期:2021-12-20
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-05-31
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